Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 142.316140 156.490330 171.010333 186.968688 203.986930 221.564730 241.064672
2025-01-05 118.285232 139.302145 161.875073 187.800996 216.632225 247.590179 283.222428
2025-01-12 97.588209 122.861705 151.261618 185.235899 224.464823 268.037704 319.784688
2025-01-19 81.756654 109.774749 142.636290 183.446994 232.179971 287.930347 355.930432
2025-01-26 72.950189 103.752539 141.265474 189.368045 248.442303 317.672267 403.941014
2025-02-02 65.305452 98.127313 139.539872 194.225602 263.098067 345.545426 450.212390
2025-02-09 59.265163 93.768083 138.751144 199.751208 278.313301 374.122996 497.717111
2025-02-16 53.929270 89.682007 137.769638 204.613941 292.483339 401.454597 544.048835
2025-02-23 45.552447 80.372138 128.945138 198.406389 291.844101 409.895065 566.807514
2025-03-02 39.378470 73.532328 122.843034 195.225780 294.644209 422.350395 594.453874
2025-03-09 35.103693 69.067920 119.659733 195.668707 301.989307 440.530804 629.451165
2025-03-16 31.763225 65.685929 117.718664 197.583870 311.163785 461.078761 667.664219
2025-03-23 29.786048 64.418780 118.940544 204.203908 327.202522 491.338049 719.535975
2025-03-30 27.526921 62.430859 118.897216 208.917663 340.677790 518.459008 767.834784
2025-04-06 24.363135 58.473702 115.449430 208.319677 346.514492 535.313195 802.786621
2025-04-13 21.541447 54.776604 112.101228 207.604689 352.015988 551.682215 837.243788
2025-04-20 20.451255 54.242277 113.886360 214.801744 369.116974 584.252728 893.951367
2025-04-27 19.202057 53.237032 114.769545 220.542067 384.135336 614.118817 947.361692
2025-05-04 18.154087 52.505478 116.029137 226.843904 400.040745 645.392004 1003.022043
2025-05-11 17.063252 51.546685 116.796670 232.317505 414.760762 675.168405 1056.969995
2025-05-18 14.383924 46.735290 110.308745 225.582526 410.691213 678.080722 1073.742412
2025-05-25 12.444757 43.272580 105.977955 222.132583 411.413936 687.700315 1099.801460
2025-06-01 11.174662 41.198075 104.077679 222.644055 418.201938 706.090724 1138.283775